PRELIMINARY RESULTS FROM AN ASYMMETRIC MODEL OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Preliminary Results from an Asymmetric Model of the Tropica Cl
A three-layer primitive equation model of an isolated stationary tropical cyclone is constructed. The major diff erence between this and previously published models is the elimination of the assumption of circular symmetry. The relesse of latent heat by organized cumulus convection is parameterized by use of techniques previously shown to give realistic results in symmetrical models. In particu...
متن کاملAn environmentally forced tropical cyclone hazard model
A physics-based statistical stochastic system is developed for estimating the long-term hazard of rare, high impact landfall events globally from ensembles of synthetic tropical cyclones. There are three components representing the complete storm lifetime: an index-based genesis model, a beta-advection track model and an autoregressive intensity model. All three components depend upon the local...
متن کاملA Minimal Three-Dimensional Tropical Cyclone Model
A minimal 3D numerical model designed for basic studies of tropical cyclone behavior is described. The model is formulated in s coordinates on an f or b plane and has three vertical levels, one characterizing a shallow boundary layer and the other two representing the upper and lower troposphere, respectively. It has three options for treating cumulus convection on the subgrid scale and a simpl...
متن کاملPredicting Tropical Cyclone Genesis
The long-term goal of this project is to provide probabilistic genesis forecast guidance to operational forecasters and develop a genesis index to provide guidance for operational dynamical model prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis. Once regions of high TC genesis probability are identified, a movable, multi-nested version of the COAMPS with resolution of roughly 3 km or less in the inn...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Monthly Weather Review
سال: 1971
ISSN: 0027-0644,1520-0493
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1971)099<0744:prfaam>2.3.co;2